Final Emerson Poll shows Trump LEADING in six of seven swing states

11/05/2024 / By Arsenio Toledo

The final Emerson College poll in seven key swing states shows former President Donald Trump leading against Vice President Kamala Harris in six of them.

The swing state poll surveyed anywhere between 790 (in Michigan) to 1,000 (in Pennsylvania) voters, with a margin of error of between plus or minus three to 3.4 percent. The survey was conducted by contacting people’s smartphones and landlines from Oct. 30 to Nov. 2.

Trump had the biggest lead in Arizona, where Emerson polled 900 voters. Trump led Harris by 2.1 percent. In Georgia, where 800 people were polled, Trump led Harris by 0.5 percent. In North Carolina, where 860 voters were polled, the former president led by 0.3 percent. In Pennsylvania, perhaps the most important swing state this election and where Emerson polled 1,000 people, Trump led Harris by 0.7 percent. (Related: POLL: Trump takes narrow lead against Harris in Pennsylvania.)

In two of the three remaining swing states, Emerson noted that Trump’s lead over Harris was essentially a “statistical tie.” In Nevada, where Emerson polled 840 people, Trump led by 0.1 percent. In Wisconsin, where 800 people were surveyed, Trump led by 0.3 percent.

The poll noted that Harris was only leading against Trump in Michigan, where Emerson polled 790 people and where the vice president led against Trump by 1.6 percent.

Emerson’s polling also suggested how there may be a “battle of the sexes” in this election, with most men breaking for Trump and most women breaking for Harris.

This phenomenon was seen in all seven swing states, but varies in the disparity. In Arizona, for example, men break for Trump by seven points (53 percent to 46 percent), while in Pennsylvania, they break for Trump by 17 points (58 percent to 41 percent).

Meanwhile, the break for Harris is less pronounced. In Arizona, women break for Harris by just two points (50 percent to 48 percent), while the biggest disparity is in Pennsylvania, where women break for Harris by 13 points (55 percent to 42 percent).

“The gender gap on the ballot continues to sharply divide voting intention,” said Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball.

All recent polls claim presidential race still “too close to call”

The Emerson poll is just one of a slew of national presidential election surveys that continue to claim that the upcoming vote is a tossup – mainstream media outlets reporting on the Emerson poll, for example, were quick to note how its results show that a Harris victory in all seven swing states was within the margin of error.

One outlying poll even found that Harris was leading Trump in Iowa, a state that has consistently voted Republican and neither party considered to be a swing state, seeing a Trump victory there all but certain.

On the final day of the campaign, Trump held a whopping four campaign stops – the first in North Carolina, two in Pennsylvania and then he wrapped up the day in Michigan.

Harris, meanwhile, spent the entirety of Monday, Nov. 4, in Pennsylvania, where she held rallies in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh before joining a concert in Allentown.

More updates about the election can be found at Trump.news.

Watch this Nov. 2 “Weekend Alert” episode of “Brighteon Broadcast News” as Mike Adams, the Health Ranger, discusses the emergency medical preparedness products people need to have stocked to be ready for post-election chaos.

This video is from the Health Ranger Report channel on Brighteon.com.